Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

800 AM EDT Mon Sep 9 2019

For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Tropical

Storm Gabrielle, located over the north-central Atlantic Ocean.

1. A weak area of low pressure, associated with a tropical wave,

continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms

about midway between the Cabo Verde Islands and the Windward

Islands. Some slow development of this system is possible during the

next two or three days before upper-level winds become unfavorable

for tropical cyclone formation. This system is expected to move

generally westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean for the next

several days.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.

2. Disorganized cloudiness and showers located a few hundred miles

north and northeast of the Greater Antilles are associated with a

surface trough interacting with an upper-level low. Little to no

development of this system is expected during the next day or two

while the system moves west-northwestward, north of the Greater

Antilles. Environmental conditions could become a little more

conducive for development when the disturbance moves near the

Bahamas and Florida late this week.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…low…20 percent.

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