Skip to content Skip to left sidebar Skip to footer

Weather Outlook – Monday, October 7, 2019

Wind Fields Friday

 

Tropical Weather Outlook

NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL

200 PM EDT Mon Oct 7 2019For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:

1. A non-tropical low pressure system located over the central Atlantic

Ocean between Bermuda and the Azores is producing gale-force winds

to the north of its center.  Environmental conditions are forecast

to be generally conducive for the low to acquire some subtropical or

tropical characteristics during the next day or two, and this system

could become a tropical or subtropical storm on Tuesday or Wednesday

while it moves slowly westward.  Upper-level winds are expected to

become unfavorable for further development by Wednesday night.

Additional information on this system can be found in High Seas

Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…medium…50 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…50 percent.

2. Showers and thunderstorms located over the western Atlantic

between the southeastern coast of the United States and Bermuda

are associated with a trough of low pressure.  This system is

forecast to move northwestward and a non-tropical low pressure area

is expected to form when the system interacts with a frontal

boundary in a couple of days.  The low could acquire some

subtropical characteristics later in the week while it meanders

off the east coast of the United States.  Additional information on

this system can also be found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the

National Weather Service.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…near 0 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…low…30 percent.

3. A trough of low pressure extending from the Straits of Florida

northeastward across the southern Florida peninsula is producing

disorganized showers and thunderstorms.  Some slight development of

this system is possible on Tuesday when it moves over the far

western Atlantic.  The disturbance is forecast to merge with a

frontal boundary and developing low off the east coast of the

United States by Wednesday, and no further development is

anticipated after that time.  Regardless of development, this system

is expected to produce locally heavy rainfall over portions of the

the southern Florida peninsula during the next day or so.

* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.

* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.

High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service

can be found under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01

KWBC, and online at ocean.weather.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.php

Translate »